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腹腔镜结直肠癌根治术患者术后因并发症转入重症监护室的危险因素分析
郎欣仪,张菲雨,王文博,聂丽霞
0
山西医科大学太原 030002;山西医科大学第一医院太原 030001
摘要:
目的:探究行全麻腹腔镜结直肠癌(CRC)根治术患者术后因并发症转入重症监护室(ICU)的危险因素并根据危险因素构建预测模型。方法:选取2021年1月—2023年12月于我院行全麻腹腔镜CRC根治术的患者共730例,采用倾向性评分匹配(PSM)后纳入其中的351例作为研究对象,根据术后转入科室将其分为ICU组(n=117)与普通病房组(n=234)。采用多因素Logistic回归法分析术后因并发症转入ICU的危险因素;建立术后因并发症转入ICU的预测模型并对模型进行评价。结果:多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,手术时间长、术中出血量大、苏醒时间长、分化程度低、TNM分期高、有肠梗阻和术前肺部并发症是术后因并发症转入ICU的危险因素;SpO2大、PaO2/FiO2大、限制性输液和肺保护性通气是术后因并发症转入ICU的保护因素(P <0.05)。建立术后因并发症转入ICU的预测模型:P =1-1/(1+e14.36-0.813x手术时间-0.894术中出血量-0.770x苏醒时间+0.321xSpO2/FiO2+1.133xPaO2/FiO2-0.880x分化程度-0.938xTNM分期-1.098x是否肠梗阻-1.082x术前肺部并发症+1.155x是否限制性输液+0.909x是否肺保护性通气)。预测模型受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)的曲线下面积、准确度、灵敏度、特异度、阳性预测值和阴性预测值分别为0.891、0.911、0.883、0.896、0.895和0.903;决策曲线分析(DCA)可知,预测模型可以提供较好的临床预测效益;频数分布结果显示预测模型可以对术后因并发症转入ICU进行有效预测。结论:手术时间长、术中出血量大、苏醒时间长、分化程度低、TNM分期高、有肠梗阻和术前肺部并发症是术后因并发症转入ICU的危险因素;SpO2大、PaO2/FiO2大、限制性输液和肺保护性通气是术后因并发症转入ICU的保护因素。根据上述影响因素构建的预测模型具有较好的预测效能。
关键词:  腹腔镜  结直肠癌  根治术  重症监护室的危险因素
DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-6948.2026.01.015
投稿时间:2025-04-25
基金项目:
Analysis of risk factors for patients undergoing laparoscopic radical resection of colorectal cancer who are transferred to intensive care unit due to complications
LANG Xin-yi,ZHANG Fei-yu,WANG Wen-bo
Abstract:
Objective To explore the risk factors of intensive care unit (ICU) admission due to complications in patients undergoing laparoscopic radical resection of colorectal cancer (CRC) under general anesthesia and to construct a prediction model based on the risk factors. Methods A total of 730 patients who underwent laparoscopic radical resection of CRC under general anesthesia in our hospital from January 2021 to December 2023 were selected. After propensity score matching (PSM), 351 of them were included as the research objects. According to the department transferred to after surgery, they were divided into ICU group (n=117) and general ward group (n=234). Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors of postoperative complications transferred to ICU. To establish and evaluate a predictive model for admission to ICU due to postoperative complications. Results Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that long operation time, large intraoperative blood loss, long recovery time, low degree of differentiation, high TNM stage, intestinal obstruction and preoperative pulmonary complications were risk factors for postoperative complications to ICU. High SpO2, high PaO2/FiO2, restrictive fluid infusion and lung protective ventilation were protective factors for postoperative complications transferred to ICU (P <0.05). A prediction model for postoperative transfer to the ICU due to complications was established: P =1-1/(1+e4.336-0.813×Operation time-0.894×Intraoperative blood loss-0.770×Recovery time+1.321×SpO +1.133×PaO /
Key words:  Laparoscopy  colorectal cancer  radical resection  intensive care unit risk factors

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